The public betting and money percentages for the Week 7 TNF game between the New Orleans Saints (2-4, 2-4 ATS) and the Arizona Cardinals (2-4, 3-3 ATS) are all under the total.
It’s no surprise. Public bettors were going to get over it after seeing back-to-back TNF games with totals of 21 and 19 points.
On the spread, public bettors favor the Cardinals, but there is a divided loyalty when it comes to moneyline public divides. Arizona is a 2.5-point favorite in the NFL odds, and the total is set at 43.5 points.
Public Betting Spreads for the Saints vs Cardinals
|Game||Spread||ATS Handle %||ATS Bet %||Total||O/U Handle %||O/U Bet %||Moneyline||ML Handle %||ML Bet %|
|New Orleans Saints||+2.5||27%||36%||O 43.5||39%||46%||+125||40%||47%|
|Arizona Cardinals||-2.5||73%||64%||U 43.5||61%||54%||-145||60%||53%|
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The public betting choices for Saints vs Cardinals favor the under on the total of 43.5 points. Splits on the handle and bets are strongly in favor of the under at 73% and 64%, respectively.
The game will begin at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, October 20 at State Farm Stadium. The forecast calls for clear skies, a 6 mph breeze, and a high temperature of 87 degrees.
The game will be broadcast exclusively on Amazon Prime as part of a new Thursday Night Football deal with Amazon.
Arizona is the first-time betting favorite in ATS action
Arizona is a home favorite for the first time this season, but public NFL betting patterns indicate that the public still has faith in the Cardinals. Arizona is receiving 64% of ATS bets and 73% of the handle for against the spread wagers.
That comes as a bit of a surprise given Arizona’s previous home history. At home this year, the Cardinals are 0-3 against the spread and straight up. Arizona’s last eight home games date back to the 2021 season, and the team is 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS over that span.
But if you look more closely at the data, it could well be that the Saints vs. Cardinals public betting splits make sense. This season, Arizona is 1-2 ATS at home. The unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Cardinals 20-17 in Week 7 despite being at home underdogs by 5.5 points. Arizona’s previous home losses this season were against the Kansas City Chiefs and the Los Angeles Rams, who are the defending Super Bowl champions, so it’s not like the Cardinals are getting dominated by weak teams there.
The Saints (0-2) and Carolina Panthers (0-2) are the only road ATS winless teams in the NFL during a season where road underdogs are consistently winning – 14 teams have winning ATS records away from home.
This Week 7 TNF game’s starting line was Arizona -2.5, which was then lowered to Saints +2 and then returned to the original line. In its previous 11 contests against the Cardinals, New Orleans is 8-3 ATS. In the team’s previous 12 games played on Thursdays, Arizona is 3-8-1 ATS.
Public Will Not Be Undermined by Saints-Cardinals Combined Score
Indianapolis defeated Denver in the TNF championship game two weeks ago, 12–9. The Washington Commanders and Chicago Bears symbolically yelled “hold our drinks” because everyone believed the final score couldn’t possible be lower. The Week 6 TNF matchup concluded Washington 12, Chicago 7.
On the game, the people heavily overbet and suffered the price. The general public is not going to be duped once more.
The total for this week’s Saints vs. Cardinals selections is 43.5 points, according to the oddsmakers. From an initial line of 44.5 points, that is down somewhat.
In any case, this week’s public betting splits favor the under.
According to NFL team trends, New Orleans is 4-2 this year on the total. The Cleveland Browns (5-1) are the only club that consistently wins over the spread out of the 32 NFL teams.
On the overall, the Cardinals are 1-4-1. Arizona is one of eight NFL clubs that has just crossed the line once so far this year.
But in six of the previous eight Saints vs. Cardinals games and four of the last five games between the two teams played in Arizona, the total has gone over.
Looking for a play on the player props for the Saints vs. Cardinals game? An over play on Alvin Kamara’s predicted 61.5 yards of rushing feels like a gift. In the last two games, he has gained 103 and 99 yards on the ground, respectively.
Gamblers Taking a Chance on the Cardinals at the Moneyline
Unpredictably, the public is backing Arizona in the moneyline.
It would make sense to avoid betting on the Arizona Cardinals at home given their awful home record of eight straight SU defeats. That’s perhaps why only 53% of wagers on the moneyline favor Arizona. New Orleans has won five of seven games versus Arizona and won six of them by a tally of 5-2 SU.
Additionally, New Orleans is 0-1 SU so far this year and 7-4 overall since the start of last season. However, the Saints have lost four of their last five games under the gun. Due to this, the Cardinals are receiving 60% of the moneyline handle.